The professionals who predict the future for a living | MIT Technology Review
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"forecasting the future is a complex and absolutely critical job. So how do you do it—and what comes next?"Fascinating series of short interviews with futurists. Some selected quotes:"When it comes to the future, you have two choices: ... build a great big wall to keep out all the bad news. Or you can build windmills and harness the…

America mainstreaming disinformation against itself (US2020 Disinformation newsletter, ed 1)

I'm (re)launching my newsletter to focus on disinformation during the 2020 US election. It's also part of a wider experiment in integrating Zettelkasten idea and knowledge management into my personal content strategy, hosted on

Leaders, Do You Have a Clear Vision for the Post-Crisis Future?
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Covid-19 pandemic ... leaders are scrambling to manage the immediate fallout... also necessary to prepare for what’s next. Visionary leaders ... didn’t simply react ... also looked beyond ... guided — and guided their people in turn — by their vision for a better future...fundamental assumptions underlying your current business model may have been…

Yuval Noah Harari on what 2050 has in store for humankind | WIRED UK
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the best skill to teach children is reinvention... the author of Sapiens reveals what 2050 has in store for humankind...once technology enables us to engineer bodies, brains and minds... We don’t know what people will do for a living, we don’t know how armies or bureaucracies will function...too many schools focus on cramming information. In the p…

How a Business Leader Can Think Like a Futurist
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I interviewed three prominent futurists---  about how business leaders can get themselves into a more future-oriented mindset.... they explain how companies and the people running them can learn to predict major shifts ...  in technology, workforce, social trends — and how to adapt accordingly... Read a ton, and consult experts... Futurists use t…

The Future Agency
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the international artists and technologists creating our popular ideas of the future do so in contexts shaped by the pursuit of profit or power. If you can render the future in advance, after all, maybe you can also control it.

Dear Professionals, It’s Time to Stop Pretending AI Won’t Take Our Jobs
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Over the past week in our Understanding AI series, we heard from a group of professionals exploring the impacts of AI... Sales coaches are valued, highly experienced, and well-paid. It’s hard to believe that a machine could potentially put them out of work, and yet…look at the data. And Sales’ counterparts over in Marketing are hardly any safer...…

Technology, Social Change, and Future Scenarios
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Convergence is occurring not just across the technology and future scenario curves, but also the various aspects of social change... the social dimension is impacted or squeezed by the curves, while at the same time, social change has a reciprocal effect

Four Questions To Turn Everyone In Your Company Into A Futurist | Fast Company | Business + Innovation
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Most of us aren't futurists, and futurists aren't oracles. They simply try and make some sense of what's coming—not hard and fast predictions, just possibilities.... there are a few ways companies can get better at predicting not just what changes may be around the corner, but how they'll affect them once those disruptions arrive. Making everyone…

Digital is just getting started – The Long Now Foundation – Medium
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summary of Kevin Kelly’s Seminar “The Next 30 Digital Years”, ... part of The Long Now Foundation’s Seminars About Long-term Thinking. a dozen “inevitable” trends will drive the next 30 years of digital progress...

The Doomsday Invention
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true artificial intelligence, if it is realized, might pose a danger that exceeds every previous threat from technology—even nuclear weapons—and that if its development is not managed carefully humanity risks engineering its own extinction... Bostrom is arguably the leading transhumanist philosopher today... bringing order to ideas that might o…

Ray’s Wildest Prediction
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Ray is a brilliant technologist, futurist, and director of engineering at Google focused on AI and language processing... of the 147 predictions that Kurzweil has made since the 1990's, fully 115 of them have turned out to be correct, and another 12 have turned out to be “essentially correct” (off by a year or two), giving his predictions a stunni…

Get Your Team Thinking Differently About the Future
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"decision makers get stuck in a memory loop and can only predict the future as a reflection of the past... A way around... is a speed-dating version of scenario planning, one that takes hours rather than months... get participants out of their usual frame of reference, opening their eyes to a possible future that would require very different type…

Europe's Societal Challenges: global societal trends to 2030
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by RAND: "What will be the key societal challenges that the EU will need to address within the next two decades? ... a review of literature, data and insights from over 200 international experts ... explores evidence and uncertainties underpinning global societal trends and the challenges they provide for policymakers. ... put in place a lastin…

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